Coroncina2 wrote:Coroncina2 wrote:
I'm probably not one of best player here but in math I was quite good, at least good enough to know that probability shows only show almost nothing with few dates. Example trough a dice with 6 faces few times we can get 2 times a 6 or a 3 and a 5, really difficult to know the result. But with big amount of data we will see almost the same number of times the same faces. Teorema di Bernoulli
So here it's ok if twice I lost 90% and twice I takes 10% but I'm talking about all team in all year played. If system work for all at same way we wouldn't have same monsters in same teams.
Now I thought a way to misure the lucky coefficient of training:
The most point we have with the fewest percentage we training should show the lucky we have.
Example:
Xuri Zhang training with 8% 1% 1% 0% 1% and got 1 mountain
Average training 2,2% average point 0,2
Lucky coefficient 9.09 here I think I was lucky
Dainese (aux ttrider ) train 0% 0% 0% 81% 0% and normally ( or at least not so lucky as Xuri ) got tt point
Average training 16% average point 0,2
Lucky coefficient 1.23
If we use it for all team we will see how much lucky we are.
With last training session I got -0,2pt\-4,63% so 0,48 lucky coefficient.
You?
I wrote it gen 29, 2016 11:10 pm
and this
Coroncina2 wrote:If we post even the relative percentages before training I think we can see more about system.
Maybe at the end of year we can find the most lucky team of 2016
![Wink ;)](./images/smilies/icon_e_wink.gif)
But seem it's all ok even if same teams got mosters training and same teams regular or shit trining.
So keep kalm and win with that you can play
![Wink ;)](./images/smilies/icon_e_wink.gif)
Well still same for me - Lets have a look at the percentages after the month for my team and the training:
Ferstl: M/F 100% / 87% - 4/3 Looks Normal - even a 4th flat train could be expected
Fiala: M/F 90%/11% - 4/1 Here Mountain pretty normal - flat train is extra
Haider: F 95% - 4 Totally Normal
Kessler: M/TT/S 4%/-16%/1% - 0/0/1 This one is lucky for sprint - tt normal chance of roughly 50% for one down
Lavoleri: M/F/D/TT 21%/3%/-13%/-11% 1/1/0/-1 Looks pretty normal for mountain - Flat Lucky - The tt train also pretty normal (35% for one down)
Luitz: F/D 38%/-10% 2/0 A bit over average for flat - DH normal but can happen or not happen
Pfnür: M/F 96%/62% 4/4 Okay this one is really a bit lucky normally to expect 4/3 or even 4/2
Sawadogo: M/F/TT/S 3%/2%/-12%/8% 0/0/-2/0 Okay this guy is special trains down tt every month never trained up anything in 10 trainings so a bit underaverage training
Schäringer: M/D 9%/1% 0/0 He just keeps on staying on his values since 12 trainings except one down on tt which led to now 0% on tt
Stehle: M/F/D/TT 1%/14%/2%/-13% 0/0/0/-1 Yeah expected could be 0 for all but its also pretty much average
Tonetti: F/D 46%/-11% 1/0 A little underaverage maybe but 1 or 2 is possible
vonGrünigen: M/F 92%/47% 4/2 Yeah pretty much what is to expect from a 22 yr old guy
Yuasa: F 16% 0 Okay this guy never trains since he is here indeed
So lets have a look: 5 totally average training i would say, 4 that are a bit better then average, 1 really lucky, 3 slightly underaverage ... So i can´t see real problems at least for my team ... also for the last months ... yes Kessler with a Monster Training indeed but otherwise guys like yuasa, sawadogo are basically not training at all and most are just training pretty average. And i really dont feel cheated by the game, some mafia or something else ... There are much bigger problems in RSF like the tons of idiots riding for place 20, riding for another team, riding for nothing in the world
Your lucky coefficient is btw. completely shitty ^^